Wildfire study
Wildfires becoming more severe due to climate change
1.5 minutes read
Published 10/02/2025

The study reinforces our understanding of how heavily climate change influences weather disasters. More prevention is urgently needed to limit any further increase in damage. This applies not only to wildfires, but to all weather-related natural hazards that are becoming more extreme as a result of climate change.
Tobias Grimm
Chief Climate Scientist
Munich Re
In the study, the authors analysed the damage and number of fatalities caused by wildfires worldwide between 1980 and 2023, and linked the analysis to climatic conditions that favour wildfires. The most important findings:
- Wildfires causing very serious damage increased significantly from 2015 onwards. 43% of the 200 wildfires resulting in the greatest damage occurred in the last ten years of the observation period. The “Mediterranean biome” (Europe, the southern portion of South America, western US, South Africa, southern Australia) and the “temperate conifer biome” (mostly western North America) have been the hardest hit.
- The most damaging wildfires were found to be closely linked to increasingly extreme climatic conditions, known as “fire disaster weather,” with high temperatures resulting in vapour pressure deficit and drought.According to the study, the frequency and severity of this “fire disaster weather” increased significantly during the observation period from 1980 to 2023.
- In summary, the study therefore suggests that climate change is playing a considerable role in the increase in major wildfire disasters, but also discusses important adaptations to managing built and natural environments.
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Experts
Markus Steuer
Consultant and wildfire expert, Corporate Underwriting
Tobias Grimm
Chief Climate Scientist
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