State of the market for public entities: 2025
Navigating complexity with resilience
public entities
Public entities are facing an increasingly complex risk landscape in 2025. Three of our experts explain what public entities can expect from the insurance industry this year.

2025 state of the market for public entities: Navigating complexity with resilience

In a world increasingly shaped by rapid technological change, economic volatility, and evolving societal expectations, public entities are facing a uniquely complex risk landscape in 2025. From inflation and climate-driven catastrophes to cyber threats and social inflation, the challenges are mounting — but so are the opportunities for resilience and strategic risk management.

Economic and market conditions: A mixed bag

The insurance market continues to feel the ripple effects of post-pandemic economic shifts. Interest rates have stabilized above 4% through the first half of 2025, providing insurers with stronger investment income, but the Federal Reserve cut rates in September and signaled more cuts could be coming. However, inflation remains stubbornly above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, driving up the cost of claims across sectors — from auto repairs to medical expenses. Combined ratios have hovered at or above 97% for most of the past decade, leaving little margin for underwriting error.

Despite these pressures, the influx of capital into the market — especially in property lines — has created a more competitive environment. Still, insurers remain cautious, particularly in the face of rising loss severity and unpredictable perils.

Cyber market: Resilience amid rising threats

Cyber risk remains a top concern, with ransomware, social engineering, and supply chain vulnerabilities dominating the threat landscape. The public entity section remains particularly prone to cyberattacks, ranking among the top three industries targeted by cybercriminals.

The market is cautiously firm, with increased capacity and competition, especially for entities with strong security postures. Automated scanning, continuous monitoring, and AI-driven underwriting are becoming standard. Still, legacy systems, under-resourced IT teams, and third-party risk remain persistent challenges.

Casualty market: Legal system abuse and systemic pressures

Casualty lines — particularly auto liability, sexual abuse, and law enforcement — continue to be shaped by legal system abuse and evolving societal expectations. Aggressive driving, rising medical costs, and rising vehicle repair costs are driving up auto claims. Meanwhile, a cultural shift from victimhood to survivorship is increasing the visibility and litigation of sexual abuse cases. Law enforcement faces its own set of pressures: recruitment and retention challenges, mental health concerns, and heightened public scrutiny. Accreditation is gaining traction as a tool for reform and accountability.

Legal system abuse, driven by third-party litigation funding and generational shifts in jury attitudes, is compounding these exposures. Millennials and Gen Z jurors bring heightened expectations for corporate responsibility and transparency, often resulting in larger verdicts and more complex litigation dynamics.

Looking ahead: Strategic risk management is key

Despite the challenges, 2025 presents opportunities for public entities to strengthen their resilience. Key strategies include:

Developing litigation management plans

Investing in employee training and awareness

Conducting regular risk assessments

Engaging in legislative advocacy

Partnering with experienced insurers and brokers

The public sector remains the backbone of our communities. As the risk landscape evolves, so too must the strategies we use to protect it. By fostering collaboration and staying grounded in human connection, public entities can navigate uncertainty and build a more secure future.

Our experts

Hannah Hays
Hannah Hays
Senior Underwriter Public Entity Cyber
Bailey Noone
Bailey Noone
Public Entity Underwriter
Munich Re Specialty
Nanci Soffer
Nanci Soffer
Public Entity Underwriter
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