Today's most concerning market dynamics

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    Today’s most concerning market dynamics: economic pressure is now the dominant force influencing risk.

    Organizations across the insurance ecosystem are feeling the effects of financial volatility more acutely than ever. Economic conditions are no longer a backdrop to risk – they are actively shaping how exposure is experienced, priced, financed, and transferred. Our latest RiskScan shows how inflation, capital pressure, and geopolitical uncertainty are redefining the fundamentals of underwriting and resilience.

    Economic pressure is reshaping the risk environment

    Global RiskScan respondents identified a set of macroeconomic risks that cut across markets and business segments:

    54%

    Economic inflation

    46%

    Economic decline

    34%

    Cost of property insurance

    30%

    Shortage of skilled workers

    29%

    Domestic political uncertainty

    Smith-Cathy.jpg
    From an underwriting standpoint, economic volatility changes far more than the price of risk. Inflation, higher replacement costs, and capital pressure are forcing us to reassess severity assumptions and the durability of risk appetite across every line.
    Cathy Smith
    Chief Underwriting Officer

    The broader impact: when economics and risk converge

    As macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty intensifies, insurers are rethinking how they model, price, and diversify risk. Traditional approaches – where economic factors were layered onto underwriting models after the fact – are no longer sufficient.
    Michel Léonard
    Economic conditions are no longer separate from risk, they are a key amplifier. Inflation increases the cost of rebuilding and claims, while higher borrowing costs can delay investments in resilience. The result is a compounding effect where shocks become more costly and harder to absorb across the insurance ecosystem.
    Michel Léonard, PhD, CBE  
    Insurance Information Institute  
    Chief Economist and Data Scientist

    Why this matters

    Economic volatility magnifies every part of the risk equation. Inflation increases the cost of rebuilding. Higher borrowing costs delay resilience investments. Geopolitical shifts reshape supply chains and capital flows. And correlated stress events – from extreme weather to cyber incidents – become harder to absorb. 

    Organizations that understand these dynamics will be better positioned to navigate uncertainty and protect long‑term financial stability.

    Today's market dynamics:

    Download this section of the report focusing on market dynamics, or download the full report.